Facts, Alternative Facts, and Fact Checking in Times of Post-Truth Politics

71 Pages Posted: 21 Jul 2017 Last revised: 1 Aug 2017

Oscar David Barrera Rodriguez

Paris School of Economics; DIAL

Sergei M. Guriev

Sciences Po; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Emeric Henry

Sciences Po - Department of Economics

Ekaterina Zhuravskaya

Paris School of Economics (EHESS)

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Date Written: July 18, 2017

Abstract

How persuasive are “alternative facts,” i.e., false statements by populist politicians, in convincing voters? How effective is fact checking in countervailing alternative facts? We conduct a randomized online experiment to evaluate the impact of alternative facts and fact checking on knowledge, beliefs, and political preferences of voters in the context of the 2017 French presidential election campaign. Marine Le Pen (MLP), the extreme-right candidate who reached the runoff, regularly used alternative facts in support of her policy proposals, to which mainstream media responded with systematic fact checking. We expose randomly selected subgroups of a sample of 2480 voting-age French to quotes from MLP and/or real facts. The results are as follows. First, alternative facts are highly persuasive. Second, fact checking improves factual knowledge of voters, but does not reduce at all voters’ policy conclusions or support for MLP. Third, providing only the true facts backfires by increasing political support for MLP compared to a control group, although to a smaller extent than alternative facts. Finally, heterogeneity of voters with respect to prior voting choices and prior knowledge is important for the effect of treatments on political preferences.

Suggested Citation

Barrera Rodriguez, Oscar David and Guriev, Sergei M. and Henry, Emeric and Zhuravskaya, Ekaterina, Facts, Alternative Facts, and Fact Checking in Times of Post-Truth Politics (July 18, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3004631

Oscar David Barrera Rodriguez

Paris School of Economics ( email )

48 Boulevard Jourdan
Paris, 75014 75014
France

DIAL ( email )

Paris
France

Sergei M. Guriev

Sciences Po ( email )

27 rue Saint-Guillaume
Paris Cedex 07, 75337
France

HOME PAGE: http://econ.sciences-po.fr/staff/sergei-guriev

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

77 Bastwick Street
London, EC1V 3PZ
United Kingdom

Emeric Henry

Sciences Po - Department of Economics ( email )

27 rue Saint-Guillaume
Paris Cedex 07, 75337
France

Ekaterina V. Zhuravskaya (Contact Author)

Paris School of Economics (EHESS) ( email )

48 Boulevard Jourdan
Paris, 75014 75014
France

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