Hedging Housing Risk

Posted: 29 Apr 2002

See all articles by Peter Englund

Peter Englund

Swedish House of Finance

Min Hwang

George Washington University - Department of Finance

John M. Quigley

University of California, Berkeley, College of Letters & Science, Department of Economics (Deceased); University of California, Berkeley, Haas School of Business, Real Estate Group (Deceased)

Abstract

An unusually rich souce of data on housing prices in Stockholm is used to analyze the investment implications of housing choices. This empirical analysis derives market-wide price and return series for housing investment during a 13-year period, and it also provides estimates of the individual-specific, idiosyncratic, variation in housing returns. Because the idiosyncratic component follows an autocorrelated process, the analysis of portfolio choice is dependent upon the holding period. We analyze the composition of household investment portfolios containing housing, common stocks, stocks in real estate holding companies, bonds, and t-bills. For short holding periods, the efficient portfolio contains essentially no housing. For longer periods, low risk portfolios contain 15 to 50 percent housing. These results suggest that there are large potential gains from policies or institutions that would permit households to hedge their lumpy investments in housing. We estimate the potential value of hedges in reducing risk to households, yet yielding the same investment returns. The value is surprisingly large, especially to poorer homeowners.

Keywords: portfolio risk, house price index, hedging

JEL Classification: G2, D6, R0

Suggested Citation

Englund, Peter and Hwang, Min and Quigley, John M., Hedging Housing Risk. Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics, Vol. 24, No. 1 & 2. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=301188

Peter Englund (Contact Author)

Swedish House of Finance ( email )

Drottninggatan 98
111 60 Stockholm
Sweden

Min Hwang

George Washington University - Department of Finance ( email )

2023 G Street
Washington, DC 20052
United States

John M. Quigley

University of California, Berkeley, College of Letters & Science, Department of Economics (Deceased) ( email )

Berkeley, CA 94720-3880
United States
510-643-7411 (Phone)
510-643-7357 (Fax)

University of California, Berkeley, Haas School of Business, Real Estate Group (Deceased) ( email )

Berkeley, CA 94720-1900
United States

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Abstract Views
1,317
PlumX Metrics