How Government Bond Prices Reflect Wartime Events. The Case of the Stockholm Market
Zurich IEER Working Paper No. 102
27 Pages Posted: 25 Feb 2002
Date Written: January 16, 2002
How are political events reflected in financial asset prices? Break points in sovereign debt prices are analyzed for Denmark, Norway, Finland, Sweden, Germany and Belgium during 1930-1948, using unique data from the Stockholm Stock Exchange. Unlike in countries involved in WWII, this market was unregulated. The outbreak of World War II heavily depressed prices of government bonds. Countries which were occupied (Belgium, Denmark and Norway) or under attack (Finland) saw their debt depreciate substantially. The battle of Stalingrad turns out indeed to be a turning-point of the war. This approach represents a complementary quantitative method to analyze the impact of political events.
Keywords: Financial Markets, Economic History, WWII, Europe, Cliometrics
JEL Classification: F34, G15, N24, N44
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation