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A Test of the Anthropogenic Sea Level Rise Hypothesis

23 Pages Posted: 23 Aug 2017 Last revised: 27 Aug 2017

Jamal Munshi

Sonoma State University

Date Written: August 21, 2017

Abstract

Detrended correlation analysis of a global sea level reconstruction 1807-2010 does not show that changes in the rate of sea level rise are related to the rate of fossil fuel emissions at any of the nine time scales tried. The result is checked against the measured data from sixteen locations in the Pacific and Atlantic regions of the Northern Hemisphere. No evidence could be found that observed changes in the rate of sea level rise are unnatural phenomena that can be attributed to fossil fuel emissions. These results are inconsistent with the proposition that the rate of sea level rise can be moderated by reducing emissions. It is noted that correlation is a necessary but not sufficient condition for a causal relationship between emissions and acceleration of sea level rise.

Keywords: anthropogenic global warming, AGW, climate change, fossil fuel emissions, sea level rise, SLR, correlation and causation, spurious correlations, applied statistics, numerical methods, split half reliability

Suggested Citation

Munshi, Jamal, A Test of the Anthropogenic Sea Level Rise Hypothesis (August 21, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3023248

Jamal Munshi (Contact Author)

Sonoma State University ( email )

1801 East Cotati Avenue
Rohnert Park, CA 94928
United States

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