Diversification in Lottery-Like Features and Portfolio Pricing Discounts

71 Pages Posted: 25 Aug 2017

Date Written: November 19, 2018

Abstract

Why do portfolios often trade at discounts relative to the sums of their components? I provide a novel explanation based on the prospect theory. I extend the model of Barberis and Huang (2008) and consider multiple assets which may or may not produce extreme positive payoffs together. My model predicts that when these assets do not produce extreme payoffs together, a portfolio consisting of them will trade at a discount relative to the market value when they are traded alone. I present three sets of empirical evidence to support this prediction and provide a novel and unifying explanation for the closed-end fund puzzle, the announcement returns of mergers and acquisitions, and conglomerate discounts.

Keywords: Cumulative Prospect Theory, Diversification, Lottery-like Feature, CoMax, Discount

JEL Classification: G11, G12, G41

Suggested Citation

Liu, Xin, Diversification in Lottery-Like Features and Portfolio Pricing Discounts (November 19, 2018). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3024688 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3024688

Xin Liu (Contact Author)

University of Bath ( email )

Claverton Down
Bath, BA2 7AY
United Kingdom

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