Diversification in Lottery-Like Features and Portfolio Pricing Discounts
70 Pages Posted: 25 Aug 2017 Last revised: 29 Jan 2019
Date Written: January 10, 2019
Why do portfolios often trade at discounts relative to the sums of their components? I provide a novel explanation based on prospect theory. I extend the model of Barberis and Huang (2008) and consider multiple assets which may or may not produce extreme positive payoffs together. My model predicts that when these assets do not produce extreme payoffs together, a portfolio consisting of them will trade at a discount. I present three sets of empirical evidence to support this prediction: the closed-end fund puzzle, the announcement returns of mergers and acquisitions, and conglomerate discounts.
Keywords: Cumulative Prospect Theory, CoMax, Diversification, Lottery-like Feature, Discount
JEL Classification: G11, G12, G41
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation