Real Options Valuation: A Monte Carlo Approach

71 Pages Posted: 6 Mar 2002

See all articles by Andrea Gamba

Andrea Gamba

University of Warwick - Finance Group

Date Written: December 2003

Abstract

This paper provides a numerical approach based on a Monte Carlo simulation for valuing dynamic capital budgeting problems with many embedded real options dependent on numerous state variables. We propose a way of decomposing a complex capital budgeting problem with many options into a set of simple options, suitably accounting for interaction and interdependence among them. The decomposition approach is numerically implemented using an extension of the Least Squares Monte Carlo algorithm, presented by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) applied to our multi-option setting. We also provide a number of applications of our approach to well-known real options models and real life capital budgeting problems. Moreover, we present a set of numerical experiments to provide evidence for the accuracy of the proposed methodology.

JEL Classification: C15, C63, G13, G31

Suggested Citation

Gamba, Andrea, Real Options Valuation: A Monte Carlo Approach (December 2003). Faculty of Management, University of Calgary WP No. 2002/3; EFA 2002 Berlin Meetings Presented Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=302613 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.302613

Andrea Gamba (Contact Author)

University of Warwick - Finance Group ( email )

Scarman Road
Coventry, CV4 7AL
Great Britain
+44 (0)24 765 24 542 (Phone)
+44 (0)24 765 23 779 (Fax)

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Downloads
5,203
Abstract Views
16,304
rank
1,381
PlumX Metrics