Market Integration and Contagion

39 Pages Posted: 22 Mar 2002

See all articles by Geert Bekaert

Geert Bekaert

Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Finance

Campbell R. Harvey

Duke University - Fuqua School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Angela Ng

Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HKUST) - Department of Finance

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 14, 2002

Abstract

Contagion is usually defined as correlation between markets in excess of what would be implied by economic fundamentals. However, there is considerable disagreement regarding the definitions of the fundamentals, how the fundamentals might differ across countries and the mechanisms that link the fundamentals to asset returns. Our research takes as a starting point, a two-factor model with time-varying betas that accommodates various degrees of market integration between the different markets. We apply this model to stock returns in three different regions, Europe, South-East Asia and Latin America. In addition to providing new insights on contagion during crisis periods, we document patterns through time in world and regional market integration and measure the proportion of volatility driven by global, regional, as well as, local factors.

JEL Classification: G15, G12

Suggested Citation

Bekaert, Geert and Harvey, Campbell R. and Ng, Angela, Market Integration and Contagion (March 14, 2002). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=302797 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.302797

Geert Bekaert

Columbia University - Columbia Business School, Finance ( email )

NY
United States

Campbell R. Harvey

Duke University - Fuqua School of Business ( email )

Box 90120
Durham, NC 27708-0120
United States
919-660-7768 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.duke.edu/~charvey

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Angela Ng (Contact Author)

Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HKUST) - Department of Finance ( email )

Clear Water Bay, Kowloon
Hong Kong

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