The Financial Market Effects of the ECB's Asset Purchase Programs
Posted: 7 Sep 2017
Date Written: 2017
The European Central Bank's asset purchase programs, while intended to stabilize the economy, may have unintended side effects on financial stability. This paper aims at gauging the effects on financial markets, the banking sector, and lending to non-financial firms. Using a structural vector autoregression analysis, we find both in the euro area and in Germany a positive effect on output, while prices do not respond significantly. Asset purchases reduce financial stress, but this beneficial effect is overturned in the medium run. In Germany, implicit firm default rates rise, while loan write-offs by banks decrease. This could point to an avoidance of balance sheet repair in the financial sector.
Keywords: asset purchase programs, balance sheet, monetary policy, central bank, shock identification, VAR
JEL Classification: C32, E44, E52, E58
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation