Technology Shocks and Monetary Policy: Assessing the Fed's Performance

31 Pages Posted: 14 Mar 2002

See all articles by Jordi Galí

Jordi Galí

Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI); Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

David Lopez-Salido

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Javier Vallés

Government of the Kingdom of Spain - Economic Bureau of the President

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: February 2002

Abstract

The purpose of the present Paper is twofold. First, we characterize the Fed's systematic response to technology shocks and its implications for US output, hours and inflation. Second we evaluate the extent to which those responses can be accounted for by a simple monetary policy rule (including the optimal one) in the context of a standard business cycle model with sticky prices. Our main results can be described as follows: First, we detect significant differences across periods in the response of the economy (as well as the Fed's) to a technology shock. Second, the Fed's response to a technology shock in the Volcker-Greenspan period is consistent with an optimal monetary policy rule. Third, in the pre-Volcker period the Fed's policy tended to over stabilize output at the cost of generating excessive inflation volatility. Our evidence reinforces recent results in the literature suggesting an improvement in the Fed's performance.

Keywords: Optimal monetary policy, monetary targeting, Taylor Rule, Fed behaviour

JEL Classification: E31, E58

Suggested Citation

Gali, Jordi and Lopez-Salido, David and Vallés, Javier, Technology Shocks and Monetary Policy: Assessing the Fed's Performance (February 2002). CEPR Discussion Paper No. 3211. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=303477

Jordi Gali (Contact Author)

Universitat Pompeu Fabra - Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacional (CREI) ( email )

Ramon Trias Fargas, 25-27
Barcelona, 08005
Spain
+34 93 542 2754 (Phone)
+34 93 542 1746 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.econ.upf.es/~gali

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Department of Economics ( email )

50 Memorial Drive
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

David Lopez-Salido

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System ( email )

20th Street and Constitution Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20551
United States

Javier Vallés

Government of the Kingdom of Spain - Economic Bureau of the President ( email )

28071 Madrid
Spain

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