Challenges and Opportunities for Integrated Modeling of Climate Engineering

38 Pages Posted: 13 Sep 2017 Last revised: 27 Sep 2018

See all articles by Massimo Tavoni

Massimo Tavoni

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM); Princeton University - Princeton Environmental Institute

Valentina Bosetti

Bocconi University; CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

Soheil Shayegh

Bocconi University; European Institute on Economy and the Environment (EIEE)

Laurent Drouet

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM)

Johannes Emmerling

CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici - European Institute onEconomy and the Environment (EIEE)

Sabine Fuss

Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC); International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Timo Goeschl

University of Heidelberg - Alfred Weber Institute for Economics

Celine Guivarch

CIRED, International Research Center on Environment & Development, France; Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées (ENPC); Université Paris Est

Thomas S. Lontzek

University of Zurich; Center for Robust Decisionmaking on Climate & Energy Policy (RDCEP)

Vassiliki Manoussi

Athens University of Economics and Business

Juan Moreno-Cruz

University of Waterloo - School of Environment, Enterprise and Development

Helene Muri

University of Oslo

Martin F. Quaas

German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig

Wilfried Rickels

Kiel Institute for the World Economy

Date Written: September 11, 2017

Abstract

The Paris Agreement has set stringent temperature targets to limit global warming to 2°C above preindustrial level, with efforts to stay well below 2°C. At the same time, its bottom-up approach with voluntary national contributions makes the implementation of these ambitious targets particularly challenging. Climate engineering – both through carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and solar radiation management (SRM) – is currently discussed to potentially complement mitigation and adaptation. Results from integrated assessment models already suggest a significant role for some forms of climate engineering in achieving stringent climate objectives1. However, these estimates and their underlying assumptions are uncertain and currently heavily debated 2–4. By reviewing the existing literature and reporting the views of experts, we identify research gaps and priorities for improving the integrated assessment of climate engineering. Results point to differentiated roles of CDR and SRM as complementary strategies to the traditional ones, as well as diverse challenges for an adequate representation in integrated assessment models. We identify potential synergies for model development which can help better represent mitigation and adaptation challenges, as well as climate engineering.

Keywords: Climate Engineering, Paris Agreement, Carbon Dioxide Removal, Solar Radiation Management, Integrated Assessment Models

JEL Classification: Q5, Q55

Suggested Citation

Tavoni, Massimo and Bosetti, Valentina and Shayegh, Soheil and Drouet, Laurent and Emmerling, Johannes and Fuss, Sabine and Goeschl, Timo and Guivarch, Céline and Lontzek, Thomas S. and Manoussi, Vassiliki and Moreno-Cruz, Juan and Muri, Helene and Quaas, Martin F. and Rickels, Wilfried, Challenges and Opportunities for Integrated Modeling of Climate Engineering (September 11, 2017). FEEM Working Paper No. 38.2017. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3035166 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3035166

Massimo Tavoni (Contact Author)

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) ( email )

Corso Magenta 63
20123 Milan
Italy

Princeton University - Princeton Environmental Institute

22 Chambers Street
Princeton, NJ 08544-0708
United States

Valentina Bosetti

Bocconi University

Via Gobbi 5
Milan, 20136
Italy

CMCC - Euro Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change

via Augusto Imperatore, 16
Lecce, I-73100
Italy

Soheil Shayegh

Bocconi University ( email )

Via Sarfatti, 25
Milan, MI 20136
Italy

European Institute on Economy and the Environment (EIEE) ( email )

Via Bergognone, 34
Milan
Italy

Laurent Drouet

Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM) ( email )

C.so Magenta 63
Milano, 20123
Italy

Johannes Emmerling

CMCC - Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici - European Institute onEconomy and the Environment (EIEE) ( email )

Via Bergognone, 34
Milan
Italy

Sabine Fuss

Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (MCC) ( email )

Torgauer Straße 12-15
Berlin, 10829
Germany
49303385537224 (Phone)
303385537224 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.mcc-berlin.net

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) ( email )

Schlossplatz 1
Laxenburg, 2361
Austria

HOME PAGE: http://www.iiasa.ac.at

Timo Goeschl

University of Heidelberg - Alfred Weber Institute for Economics ( email )

Bergheimer Str. 20
D-69115 Heidelberg
Germany

Céline Guivarch

CIRED, International Research Center on Environment & Development, France ( email )

Campus du Jardin Tropical
45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle
F94736 Nogent sur Marne Cedex
France
+33 143947320 (Phone)

Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées (ENPC) ( email )

28, rue des Saints-Peres
75343 Paris Cedex 07
France

Université Paris Est ( email )

Batiment Bois de l'Etang
5 rue Galilee
Champs sur Marne, 77420
France

Thomas S. Lontzek

University of Zurich ( email )

Switzerland

Center for Robust Decisionmaking on Climate & Energy Policy (RDCEP) ( email )

5735 S. Ellis Street
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

Vassiliki Manoussi

Athens University of Economics and Business ( email )

76 Patission Street
Athens, 104 34
Greece

Juan Moreno-Cruz

University of Waterloo - School of Environment, Enterprise and Development ( email )

Waterloo, Ontario N2L 3G1
Canada

Helene Muri

University of Oslo ( email )

PO Box 6706 St Olavs plass
Oslo, N-0317
Norway

Martin F. Quaas

German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig ( email )

Deutscher Platz 5e
Leipzig, 04103
Germany

HOME PAGE: http://www.idiv.de/bioecon

Wilfried Rickels

Kiel Institute for the World Economy ( email )

P.O. Box 4309
Kiel, D-24100
Germany

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