Recovery from Dutch Disease
24 Pages Posted: 8 Nov 2017
Date Written: November 6, 2017
Dutch Disease is thought to have ongoing negative effects on resource rich open economies. There is little evidence on how economies recover. We document the Australian case in the aftermath of the commodities price boom resulting from high input demand from China. We show that where the boom is contained in an export-oriented, small-employment sector of the economy and driven by external demand rather than price shocks, the economy recovers to its equilibrium relatively quickly. To show this we add a new tool to the SVAR toolbox which enables us to assess the source of deviations in the observed outcomes from an empirical steady-state implied by the model.
Keywords: Dutch Disease, Australia, China, SVAR, Historical Decomposition, Empirical Steady-State Gap
JEL Classification: C51, E32, F43, F62
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