Is Predatory Publishing a Real Threat? Evidence from a Large Database Study

20 Pages Posted: 13 Nov 2017 Last revised: 25 Mar 2018

Marcelo Perlin

Escola de Administração - UFRGS

Takeyoshi Imasato

Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) - Escola de Administracao

Denis Borenstein

Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS/PPGA), Management School

Date Written: November 9, 2017

Abstract

Using a database of potential, possible, or probable predatory scholarly open-access journals, the objective of this research is to study the penetration of predatory publications in the Brazilian academic system and the profile of authors in a cross-section empirical study. Based on a massive amount of publications from Brazilian researchers of all disciplines during the 2000 to 2015 period, we were able to analyze the extent of predatory publications using an econometric modeling. Descriptive statistics indicate that predatory publications represent a small overall proportion, but grew exponentially in the last 5 years. Departing from prior studies, our analysis shows that experienced researchers with a high number of non-indexed publications and PhD obtained locally are more likely to publish in predatory journals. Further analysis shows that once a journal regarded as predatory is listed in the local ranking system, the Qualis, it starts to receive more publications than non-predatory ones.

Keywords: Predatory Publishing, Beall's List, Open Access, Lattes Platform

JEL Classification: C1

Suggested Citation

Perlin, Marcelo and Imasato, Takeyoshi and Borenstein, Denis, Is Predatory Publishing a Real Threat? Evidence from a Large Database Study (November 9, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3067958 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3067958

Marcelo Perlin (Contact Author)

Escola de Administração - UFRGS ( email )

Porto-Alegre RS
Brazil

HOME PAGE: http://sites.google.com/site/marceloperlin/

Takeyoshi Imasato

Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) - Escola de Administracao ( email )

Av. Carlos Gomes 1111
90480-004 Porto-Alegre-RS
Brazil

Denis Borenstein

Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS/PPGA), Management School ( email )

Rua Washington Luiz, 855. Centro
Porto Alegre - RS, 90010-460
Brazil

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