Using Election Forensics to Detect Election Fraud in the Philippine Elections, 2016

Abstract

This paper uses the tools of election forensics to investigate electoral fraud in the most recent Philippine national elections, 2016. We first focus on digit tests, finite mixture model and its equivalents. We pay particular attention to the measurement of stolen votes and geographic allocation of election fraud across national elections. We then focus on Marcos v. Robredo court case, which helps us to validate some of our research findings for the vice-presidential election.

Keywords: Election Forensics, Election Fraud, Election Forensics Toolkit, Finite Mixture Model, Philippines