How Does Terrorism Affect the International Trade of Muslims Countries?
Quality and Quantity 52(5), 2255-2268.
Posted: 5 Dec 2017 Last revised: 13 Aug 2018
Date Written: November 30, 2017
In this paper, we propose a new model, namely the terrorism-trade and investment diversion simulator (TTID-Simulator). The simulator allows us to analyze the impact of terrorism on trade and investment diversion anywhere and anytime. Our central objective is to use the new model to evaluate the trade and investment diversion due to terrorism, and the ultimate effect on the inflation rate, unemployment rate, and poverty rate. More specifically, we apply TTID-simulator to evaluate the economic effect of terrorism on Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and Syria, four countries which suffered a lot of terrorist activity in recent years. The focus of our analysis is trade and investment diversion, and our sample period runs from 1980 to 2016.
Keywords: Terrorism, Policy modeling, Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Syria
JEL Classification: R11, R12
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation