How Does Terrorism Affect the International Trade of Muslims Countries?

Quality and Quantity 52(5), 2255-2268.

Posted: 5 Dec 2017 Last revised: 13 Aug 2018

See all articles by Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

Universidad de San Carlos de Guatemala; Center of Latin American Studies (CLAS) - University of Malaya; University of Malaya (UM) - Social Security Research Centre (SSRC)

Donghyun Park

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research

Tahir Muhammad

Comsats University Islamabad

Alam Khan

KUST

Date Written: November 30, 2017

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a new model, namely the terrorism-trade and investment diversion simulator (TTID-Simulator). The simulator allows us to analyze the impact of terrorism on trade and investment diversion anywhere and anytime. Our central objective is to use the new model to evaluate the trade and investment diversion due to terrorism, and the ultimate effect on the inflation rate, unemployment rate, and poverty rate. More specifically, we apply TTID-simulator to evaluate the economic effect of terrorism on Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, and Syria, four countries which suffered a lot of terrorist activity in recent years. The focus of our analysis is trade and investment diversion, and our sample period runs from 1980 to 2016.

Keywords: Terrorism, Policy modeling, Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan, Syria

JEL Classification: R11, R12

Suggested Citation

Ruiz Estrada, Mario Arturo and Park, Donghyun and Muhammad, Tahir and Khan, Alam, How Does Terrorism Affect the International Trade of Muslims Countries? (November 30, 2017). Quality and Quantity 52(5), 2255-2268. , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3080163

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada (Contact Author)

Universidad de San Carlos de Guatemala ( email )

Ciudad Universitaria Zona 12
Guatemala, Guatemala city
Guatemala
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HOME PAGE: http://www.usac.edu.gt

Center of Latin American Studies (CLAS) - University of Malaya ( email )

R&D Wisma
Kuala Lumpur, 50603
Malaysia
+60126850293 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://ssrc.um.edu.my/

University of Malaya (UM) - Social Security Research Centre (SSRC) ( email )

Malaysia

Donghyun Park

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

Tahir Muhammad

Comsats University Islamabad ( email )

Park Road
Chak Shahzad
Islamabad, North-West Frontier Province 44000
Pakistan

Alam Khan

KUST ( email )

Department of Economics Kohat University of Scienc
Kohat, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa 26000
Pakistan

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