북한의 무역과 산업정책의 연관성 분석 (Analysis on North Korea's Trade and Industrial Policy)

210 Pages Posted: 15 Dec 2017

See all articles by Jangho Choi

Jangho Choi

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Sooho Lim

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

SeogKi Lee

Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade

Yoojeong Choi

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

So Jeong Im

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Date Written: November 28, 2017

Abstract

Korean Abstract: 본 연구는 수출입 통계를 비롯해서 북한과 관련된 얼마 되지 않는 자료들을 여러 각도로 분석함으로써 김정은 정권의 산업정책이 얼마만큼 실현되었는지 분석하고자 최초로 시도했다는 점에 차별점이 있다.

본 연구는 정성적인 면에서 지금까지 북한의 대외관계 발전전략이 산업정책에 갖는 함의와 노동신문과 경제연구를 통해 김정은 집권 전후 산업정책에 어떠한 변화가 있었는지에 대한 분석을 시도했다.

또한 정량적인 면에서 통계적으로 북한의 수출입을 산업별·사용목적별·기술수준별 등 다각도로 분석함으로써 북한 내부 산업정책의 변천을 추리했다. 무엇보다 이 연구가 우리 정부의 대북정책 수립과 관련해서 보탬이 되는 정보를 제공하기를 희망한다.

English Abstract: 2017 marks the 5th year of Kim Jong Un’s reign, and evaluating the economic performance during this period is meaningful in that by doing so we can measure the future direction of the North Korean economy. However, despite the great efforts made to survey the North Korean economy, there is still only a superficial understanding regarding its economic size, industrial policies, industrial situation, and factories. The purpose of this study is to provide a new type of perspective through analyzing new kinds of data to help evaluate the North Korean economy. To this end, we provide a comparison between the industrial policies of the Kim Il Sung and Kim Jong Il regimes and the industrial policies emphasized since Kim Jong Un came to power. We then analyze the North Korean import and export data by industry, technology level, and utility purposes. Finally, this research considers the changes in North Korea’s industrial policy and import and export statistics to assess the economic situation of North Korea and the outcomes of its industrial policy after Kim Jong Un’s incumbency, and predicts the effect of sanctions on North Korea’s economy.

Note: Downloadable document is available in Korean.

Keywords: North Korea, Trade, Industrial Policy, North Korean economy

Suggested Citation

Choi, Jangho and Lim, Sooho and Lee, SeogKi and Choi, Yoojeong and Im, So Jeong, 북한의 무역과 산업정책의 연관성 분석 (Analysis on North Korea's Trade and Industrial Policy) (November 28, 2017). KIEP Research Paper. Policy Analyses 17-06, ISBN: 978-89-322-1673-7. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3087788 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3087788

Jangho Choi (Contact Author)

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy ( email )

[30147] Building C, Sejong National Research Compl
Seoul, 370
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

Sooho Lim

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy ( email )

[30147] Building C, Sejong National Research Compl
Seoul, 370
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

SeogKi Lee

Korea Institute for Industrial Economics and Trade ( email )

P.O. Box 205
Cheongryang, Seoul
United States

Yoojeong Choi

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy ( email )

[30147] Building C, Sejong National Research Compl
Seoul, 370
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

So Jeong Im

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy ( email )

[30147] Building C, Sejong National Research Compl
Seoul, 370
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

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