The Case for Bayesian Judges: Putting Posner and Vermeule into Practice

10 Pages Posted: 9 Jan 2018 Last revised: 1 Aug 2019

See all articles by F. E. Guerra-Pujol

F. E. Guerra-Pujol

University of Central Florida; Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico

Date Written: July 30, 2019

Abstract

This paper contributes to the literature on adjudication by proposing a simple method for operationalizing Eric Posner and Adrian Vermeule’s valuable insights about the Bayesian nature of the judicial process.

Keywords: Bayesian voting, degrees of belief, confidence levels, judicial voting, appellate judges

JEL Classification: K40, D71

Suggested Citation

Guerra-Pujol, F. E., The Case for Bayesian Judges: Putting Posner and Vermeule into Practice (July 30, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3096881 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3096881

F. E. Guerra-Pujol (Contact Author)

University of Central Florida ( email )

Orlando, FL 32816
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.priorprobability.com

Pontifical Catholic University of Puerto Rico ( email )

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