Friend or Foe? Cross-Border Linkages, Contagious Banking Crises, and 'Coordinated' Macroprudential Policies
45 Pages Posted: 8 Feb 2018 Last revised: 21 Mar 2018
Date Written: January 2018
This paper examines whether the coordinated use of macroprudential policies can help lessen the incidence of banking crises. It is well-known that rapid domestic credit growth and house price growth positively influence the chances of a banking crisis. As well, a crisis in other countries with high trade and financial linkages raises the crisis probability. However, whether such 'contagion effects' can operate to reduce crisis probabilities when highly linked countries execute macroprudential policies together has not been fully explored. A dataset documenting countries' use of macroprudential tools suggests that a 'coordinated' implementation of macroprudential policies across highly-linked countries can help to stem the risks of widespread banking crises, although this positive effect may take some time to materialize.
Keywords: Banking crisis, Financial crisis, Trade Linkages, Financial Linkages, Macroprudential Policies, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, International Policy Coordination and Transmission
JEL Classification: F36, F42, G21
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation