Loan Contract Structure and Adverse Selection: Survey Evidence from Uganda

54 Pages Posted: 26 Feb 2018 Last revised: 14 Jan 2019

See all articles by Selim Gulesci

Selim Gulesci

Bocconi University - Department of Economics

Andreas Madestam

Stockholm University, Department of Economics

Miri Stryjan

Ben-Gurion University of the Negev

Date Written: February 2018

Abstract

While adverse selection is an important theoretical explanation for credit rationing it is difficult to quantify empirically. Many studies measure the elasticity of credit demand of existing or previous borrowers as opposed to the population at large; other studies use cross-sectional approaches that may confound borrower risk with other factors. We circumvent both issues by surveying a representative sample of microenterprises in urban Uganda and by measuring their responses to multiple hypothetical contract offers, varying in interest rates and collateral requirements. Theory suggests that a lower interest rate or a lower collateral obligation should increase take up among less risky borrowers. We test these predictions by examining if firm owners respond to changes in the interest rate or the collateral requirement and whether higher take up varies by firms' risk type. We find that contracts with lower interest rates or lower collateral obligations increase hypothetical demand â?? especially for less risky firms, as theory predicts. Our results imply that changes to the standard loan product available to microenterprises may have substantial effects on credit demand.

Keywords: Adverse Selection, Collateral, interest rates, SMEs

JEL Classification: D22, G21, O12

Suggested Citation

Gulesci, Selim and Madestam, Andreas and Stryjan, Miri, Loan Contract Structure and Adverse Selection: Survey Evidence from Uganda (February 2018). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12742, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3130181

Selim Gulesci (Contact Author)

Bocconi University - Department of Economics ( email )

Via Gobbi 5
Milan, 20136
Italy

Andreas Madestam

Stockholm University, Department of Economics ( email )

Universitetsvägen 10
Stockholm, Stockholm SE-106 91
Sweden

HOME PAGE: http://www.ne.su.se/andreasmadestam

Miri Stryjan

Ben-Gurion University of the Negev ( email )

Be'er Sheva
8410501
Israel

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