Common Factors of Commodity Prices

43 Pages Posted: 6 Mar 2018

See all articles by Simona Delle Chiaie

Simona Delle Chiaie

European Central Bank; Banque de France

Laurent Ferrara

Banque de France; Université Paris Ouest - Nanterre, La Défense - EconomiX

Domenico Giannone

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 2018

Abstract

In this paper we extract latent factors from a large cross-section of commodity prices, including fuel and non-fuel commodities. We decompose each commodity price series into a global (or common) component, block-specific components, and a purely idiosyncratic shock. We find that the bulk of the uctuations in commodity prices is well summarized by a single global factor. This global factor is closely related to fluctuations in global economic activity and its importance in explaining variations in commodity prices has increased since the beginning of the 2000s, especially for oil.

Suggested Citation

Delle Chiaie, Simona and Ferrara, Laurent and Giannone, Domenico, Common Factors of Commodity Prices (March 2018). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12767. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3134418

Simona Delle Chiaie (Contact Author)

European Central Bank ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

Banque de France ( email )

Laurent Ferrara

Banque de France ( email )

Paris
France

Université Paris Ouest - Nanterre, La Défense - EconomiX ( email )

200 Avenue de la République
92000

Domenico Giannone

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York ( email )

33 Liberty Street
New York, NY 10045
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

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