Gravity, Counterparties, and Foreign Investment

75 Pages Posted: 15 Mar 2018 Last revised: 28 Mar 2019

See all articles by Cristian Badarinza

Cristian Badarinza

National University of Singapore (NUS)

Tarun Ramadorai

Imperial College London; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Chihiro Shimizu

Nihon University

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 25, 2019

Abstract

International trade and investment flows obey gravity relationships, posing a continuing puzzle. New data on cross-border commercial real-estate investment flows show that they obey gravity, but this relationship is rendered insignificant by controlling for the presence of counterparties from origin countries in destination countries. We attribute this to a strong, robust tendency for preferential matching with same-country counterparties. We set up an equilibrium matching model with a contracting/trust friction affecting different-nationality transactions. The model explains the persistent success of gravity using the friction and the fact that the spatial distribution of same- nationality counterparties is well-explained by historical links between countries.

Keywords: Gravity, Foreign investment, Commercial real estate, Trust, Matching, Cross-border flows

JEL Classification: D83, F14, F30, G11

Suggested Citation

Badarinza, Cristian and Ramadorai, Tarun and Shimizu, Chihiro, Gravity, Counterparties, and Foreign Investment (March 25, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3141255 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3141255

Cristian Badarinza (Contact Author)

National University of Singapore (NUS) ( email )

Bukit Timah Road 469 G
Singapore, 117591
Singapore

Tarun Ramadorai

Imperial College London ( email )

South Kensington Campus
Exhibition Road
London, Greater London SW7 2AZ
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.tarunramadorai.com

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

Chihiro Shimizu

Nihon University ( email )

3-34-1, Shimouma
Tokyo, Tokyo 154-8513
Japan
+81-3-6453-1715 (Phone)
+81-3-6453-1630 (Fax)

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