Download This PaperDoes Market Attention Affect Bitcoin Returns and Volatility?
Figá-Talamanca, G. & Patacca, M., Does market attention affect Bitcoin returns and volatility?, Decisions in Economics and Finance (2019). Doi.org/10.1007/s10203-019-00258-7
19 Pages Posted: 26 Mar 2018 Last revised: 25 Jul 2019
Date Written: February 23, 2018
Abstract
In this paper we measure market attention by applying several filters on time series for the trading volume or the SVI Google searches index. We analyze relative impact of these measures either on the mean or on the variance of Bitcoin returns by fitting non linear econometric models to historical data from January 1, 2012 to October 31, 2017; two non-overlapping subsamples are also considered. Outcomes confirm our conjecture that market attention has an impact on Bitcoin returns. Specifically, trading volume related measures affect both the mean and the conditional variance of Bitcoin returns while internet searches volume mainly affects the conditional variance of returns.
Keywords: Bitcoin, Market Attention, SVI Google Index, ARMA, GARCH
JEL Classification: C22, C52, C58
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