Exchange Rate Appreciations and Corporate Risk Taking

41 Pages Posted: 28 Mar 2018

See all articles by Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan

University of Maryland - Department of Economics; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); Koc University, Graduate School of Business

Xiaoxi Liu

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK)

Ilhyock Shim

Bank for International Settlements (BIS)

Date Written: March 2018

Abstract

We test the risk taking channel of exchange rate appreciations using firm-level data from private and public firms in ten Asian emerging market economies during 2002-2015. Since foreign currency (FX) debt at the firm level is not observed for the Asian economies, we approximate the FX debt of a given firm by assuming that any given firm will hold a constant share of its total debt in foreign currency, where this share is given by the firm's country's share of FX liabilities in total liabilities. We measure risk taking by firm leverage. We show that firms with a higher volume of FX debt before the exchange rate appreciates, increase their leverage relatively more after the appreciation. Our results imply that more indebted firms become even more leveraged after exchange rate appreciations.

Keywords: capital flows, exchange rates, FX borrowing, firm heterogeneity, firm leverage

JEL Classification: E0, F0, F1

Suggested Citation

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem and Liu, Xiaoxi and Shim, Ilhyock, Exchange Rate Appreciations and Corporate Risk Taking (March 2018). BIS Working Paper No. 710, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3150386

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan (Contact Author)

University of Maryland - Department of Economics ( email )

College Park, MD 20742
United States

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

1050 Massachusetts Avenue
Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

Koc University, Graduate School of Business ( email )

Rumelifeneri Yolu
34450 Sar?yer
Istanbul, 34450
Turkey

Xiaoxi Liu

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK)

Shatin, N.T.
Hong Kong
Hong Kong

Ilhyock Shim

Bank for International Settlements (BIS) ( email )

78F, Two International Finance Centre
8 Finance Street, Central
Hong Kong, n/a n/a
Hong Kong

HOME PAGE: http://www.bis.org/author/ilhyock_shim.htm

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