남북한 경제통합 분석모형 구축과 성장효과 분석(Developing Analysis Model and Analizing Growth Effect of South and North Korea Economic Integration)

169 Pages Posted: 11 Apr 2018

See all articles by Jangho Choi

Jangho Choi

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Bumhwan Kim

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy

Date Written: December 27, 2017

Abstract

Korean Abstract: 본 연구는 남북한 경제통합이 남북 양 경제에 미치는 파급효과를 규명하기 위해 모형을 구축하고 성장효과를 분석하고자 하였다. 먼저 제1장에서는 본 연구의 배경과 목적, 기존 연구와의 방법론적 차별점을 제시하였다. 남북경제협력사업은 역대 정부마다 새로운 경제성장의 기회로 여겨왔으나 중요성에 반해 경제적 파급효과를 추정한 연구가 거의 없었다. 본 연구는 남북통일과 더불어 남북경협이 남북한 양측에 미치는 경제성장효과를 추정하고 남북 양 경제의 이익을 극대화하는 남북 경협 형태를 규명하여 시사점을 도출하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 방법론적으로는 솔로우 성장모형을 사용한 점, 다양한 경협사업 및 정책변수를 고려하여 경제성장효과를 추정한 점, 동태 분석을 하여 기간별 성장효과를 확인한 점 등이 기존 선행연구와의 차별점으로 평가된다.

English Abstract: The purpose of this study is to construct a model that can analyze growth effects to explain the impact that economic integration between North and South Korea will have on both economies. The main results of this study are as follows: first, by constructing the analysis model for economic integration on North and South Korea, the effects of economic integration on North and South Korea were estimated simultaneously, and economic cooperation and unification estimated with the same model; second, the effect of inter-Korean economic cooperation on North Korean productivity was internalized within the model; third, the main variables for evaluation of the North Korean economy were provided; and fourth, through these analyses we propose the economic cooperation projects most likely to maximize the economic growth of the two Koreas.

Note: Downloadable document is in Korean.

Keywords: South and North Korea Economic Integration; Growth Effect

Suggested Citation

Choi, Jangho and Kim, Bumhwan, 남북한 경제통합 분석모형 구축과 성장효과 분석(Developing Analysis Model and Analizing Growth Effect of South and North Korea Economic Integration) (December 27, 2017). KIEP Research Paper. Long-term Trade Strategies Study Series 17-01 . Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3160435 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3160435

Jangho Choi (Contact Author)

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy ( email )

[30147] Building C, Sejong National Research Compl
Seoul, 370
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

Bumhwan Kim

Korea Institute for International Economic Policy ( email )

[30147] Building C, Sejong National Research Compl
Seoul, 370
Korea, Republic of (South Korea)

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