Real Options and Institutions

25 Pages Posted: 24 Apr 2018

See all articles by Enrico Pennings

Enrico Pennings

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE); Tinbergen Institute; Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM)

Sjoerd van Bekkum

Erasmus University

Date Written: January 2017

Abstract

This article shows how growth options are affected by two types of external uncertainty: Transactional uncertainty that stems from institutional voids and increases transaction costs, and economic uncertainty that arises from the business environment. We theorize that these two types of uncertainty have opposing effects: A firm’s growth option value (proportional to firm value) is negatively associated with transactional uncertainty, but positively associated with economic uncertainty. In an empirical study, we directly compare firm-level growth option values across 34 countries and indeed find that economic uncertainty and various institutional measures for transactional uncertainty correlate in opposite directions with the value of growth opportunities. Interestingly, in countries with lower transactional uncertainty, the economic uncertainty in the business environment is more strongly related to proportional growth option value. The link between a country’s institutions and firms’ proportional growth options value is also moderated by firm size. The implication of our study is that institutions, such as property rights, business regulations, and contract enforcement are important preconditions for companies to appropriate growth option value under economic uncertainty. Our findings may help public policymakers in devising strategies for institutional development in their country, and corporate executives in assessing institutional factors when managing their company’s growth options.

Keywords: stock market valuation, institutional environment, institutional theory, valuation in a global world

Suggested Citation

Pennings, Enrico and van Bekkum, Sjoerd, Real Options and Institutions (January 2017). Journal of International Business Studies, Vol. 48, Issue 5, 2017, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3160754 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41267-016-0055-7

Enrico Pennings

Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR) - Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) ( email )

P.O. Box 1738
3000 DR Rotterdam, NL 3062 PA
Netherlands

Tinbergen Institute ( email )

Burg. Oudlaan 50
Rotterdam, 3062 PA
Netherlands

Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM) ( email )

P.O. Box 1738
3000 DR Rotterdam
Netherlands

Sjoerd Van Bekkum

Erasmus University ( email )

P.O. Box 1738
Rotterdam, NL 3062 PA
Netherlands

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