A Risk Dashboard for the Italian Economy
38 Pages Posted: 17 Apr 2018
Date Written: February 27, 2018
In this paper we describe an analytical framework to assess financial stability risks in the Italian economy. We use a large number of indicators, selected to take into account the peculiarities of the Italian economy, to monitor risks in seven areas: interlinkages, the credit markets, the macroeconomic environment, funding conditions, the financial markets, and the banking and insurance sectors. Based on thresholds selected on the basis of either expert judgment or historical distributions, we construct risk heatmaps and derive aggregate scores for each of the above risk categories. By providing timely information on the buildup of risks, the proposed dashboard usefully complements other analytical tools currently used for developing and implementing macroprudential policy.
Keywords: early warning indicators, financial stability risks, heatmaps, macroprudential policy
JEL Classification: G12, G21, G23, G28
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