Fear of Crime: The Impact of Different Distributions of Victimisation

8 Pages Posted: 24 Apr 2018

See all articles by Rafael Prieto Curiel

Rafael Prieto Curiel

University College London - Department of Mathematics

Steven Bishop

University College London

Date Written: April 2018

Abstract

There is often a mismatch between levels of crime and the fear of becoming a victim of crime. It is not uncommon to find individuals who suffer little or no crime but yet who are still fearful of some future crime. Alternatively, a place or region might see an increase in crime over time while the fear of crime remains unchanged. Building on a model that previously considered the fear of crime as an opinion shared by simulated individuals, here the impact that different distributions of crime have on the fear experienced by the population is analysed. Simulating the dynamics of the fear of individuals, along with changes of the distribution of crime, leads to results which show that fear is sensitive to the distribution of crime and that there is a phase transition for high levels of concentration of crime. A policy may be oriented to reduce crime, so that the population effectively suffers less crime, but if the victimisation is displaced to other individuals, then the perception of insecurity may not decrease, with fear becoming more widespread.

Suggested Citation

Prieto Curiel, Rafael and Bishop, Steven, Fear of Crime: The Impact of Different Distributions of Victimisation (April 2018). Palgrave Communications, Vol. 4, Issue 1, pp. 46-46, 2018. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3165458 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1057/s41599-018-0094-8

Rafael Prieto Curiel (Contact Author)

University College London - Department of Mathematics ( email )

Gower Street
London, WC1E 6BT
United Kingdom

Steven Bishop

University College London ( email )

Gower Street
London, WC1E 6BT
United Kingdom

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