Agricultural Yield and Conflict

56 Pages Posted: 30 Jun 2018

See all articles by James Ang

James Ang

Nanyang Technological University (NTU) - Division of Economics

Satyendra Kumar Gupta

Jindal School of Goverment and Public Policy, JIndal Global University

Date Written: March 5, 2018

Abstract

This research establishes that the emergence and persistence of intrastate conflict incidence since 1960 are influenced by regional agro-ecological factors captured by the extent of variation in potential crop yield. Our results based on cross-country and grid-level analysis indicate that higher potential crop yield variability within a country that is exogenous to both human intervention and regional culture increases the likelihood of intrastate conflict. Our findings are robust to the inclusion of various geographical, institutional, and potentially confounding economic development correlates.

Keywords: Intrastate Conflict, Potential Crop Yield, Agronomy

JEL Classification: E02, F50, Q10

Suggested Citation

Ang, James and Gupta, Satyendra Kumar, Agricultural Yield and Conflict (March 5, 2018). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3187397 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3187397

James Ang

Nanyang Technological University (NTU) - Division of Economics ( email )

HSS 04-53, 14 Nanyang Drive
Singapore, 639798
Singapore

Satyendra Kumar Gupta (Contact Author)

Jindal School of Goverment and Public Policy, JIndal Global University ( email )

Sonipat
Sonipat
Haryana, 124 001
India

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