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Win or Lose: Residential Sorting After a School Choice Lottery

Review of Economics and Statistics, Forthcoming

57 Pages Posted: 22 Jun 2018 Last revised: 10 Mar 2020

See all articles by Andrew Bibler

Andrew Bibler

University of Nevada, Las Vegas; University of Alaska Anchorage, Institute of Social and Economic Research; University of Alaska Anchorage - Department of Economics

Stephen B. Billings

University of Colorado - Boulder

Date Written: May 20, 2018

Abstract

We examine residential relocation and opting out of the public school system in response to school choice lottery outcomes. We show that rising kindergarten and sixth graders who lose a school choice lottery are 6 percentage points more likely to exit the district or change neighborhood schools (20-30% increase) and make up 0.14-0.35 standard deviations in average school test scores between lottery assignment and attendance the following year. Using hedonic-based estimates of land prices, we estimate that lottery losers pay a 9-11% housing price premium for access to a school with a one standard deviation higher mean test score.

Suggested Citation

Bibler, Andrew and Billings, Stephen B., Win or Lose: Residential Sorting After a School Choice Lottery (May 20, 2018). Review of Economics and Statistics, Forthcoming, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3193131 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3193131

Andrew Bibler (Contact Author)

University of Nevada, Las Vegas ( email )

United States

University of Alaska Anchorage, Institute of Social and Economic Research ( email )

3211 Providence Dr, BOC 3-301
Anchorage, AK 99508
United States

University of Alaska Anchorage - Department of Economics ( email )

United States

Stephen B. Billings

University of Colorado - Boulder ( email )

Leeds School of Business
Koelbel Building
Boulder, CO US 80309
United States

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