The Alleged Instability of Nominal Income Targeting

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Working Paper No. G97/6

13 Pages Posted: 6 Dec 2002

See all articles by Bennett T. McCallum

Bennett T. McCallum

Carnegie Mellon University - David A. Tepper School of Business; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: August 1997

Abstract

Recently it has been argued that a monetary policy of nominal income targeting would result in dynamically unstable processes for output and inflation. That result holds in a theoretical model that includes backward-looking IS and Phillips curve relations, but these are rather special and theoretically unattractive. The present paper demonstrates that replacement of the special Phillips curve with one of several more plausible specifications overturns the instability result, whether or not the IS equation is replaced with a forward-looking version. Thus the instability result is quite fragile and therefore provides almost no basis for a negative judgment regarding nominal income targeting.

JEL Classification: E52, E32, E30

Suggested Citation

McCallum, Bennett T., The Alleged Instability of Nominal Income Targeting (August 1997). Reserve Bank of New Zealand Working Paper No. G97/6, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=321787 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.321787

Bennett T. McCallum (Contact Author)

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