Smoking and Mortality: New Evidence from a Long Panel

49 Pages Posted: 20 Aug 2018

See all articles by Michael Darden

Michael Darden

Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School

Donna B. Gilleskie

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill - Department of Economics

Koleman Strumpf

Wake Forest University

Date Written: August 2018

Abstract

Many public health policies are rooted in findings from medical and epidemiological studies that fail to consider behavioral influences. Using nearly 50 years of data from the Framingham Heart Study's male participants, we evaluate the longevity consequences of different lifetime smoking patterns by jointly estimating smoking behavior and health outcomes over the life cycle, by richly including smoking and health histories, and by flexibly incorporating correlated unobserved heterogeneity. Unconditional difference‐in‐mean calculations that treat smoking behaviors as random indicate a 9.3‐year difference in age of death between lifelong smokers and nonsmokers; our findings suggest the bias‐corrected difference is 4.3 years.

Suggested Citation

Darden, Michael and Gilleskie, Donna B. and Strumpf, Koleman, Smoking and Mortality: New Evidence from a Long Panel (August 2018). International Economic Review, Vol. 59, Issue 3, pp. 1571-1619, 2018, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3233214 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/iere.12314

Michael Darden (Contact Author)

Johns Hopkins University - Carey Business School ( email )

100 International Drive
Baltimore, MD 21202
United States

Donna B. Gilleskie

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill - Department of Economics ( email )

Chapel Hill, NC 27599
United States

Koleman Strumpf

Wake Forest University

2601 Wake Forest Road
Winston-Salem, NC 27109
United States

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
1
Abstract Views
286
PlumX Metrics