The Cross-Section of Emerging Market Stock Returns
55 Pages Posted: 28 Aug 2018
Date Written: August 17, 2018
Using monthly stock returns from 28 emerging market countries and a total sample period of 21 years, we investigate the predictive power of a broad set of factors. We document that the factor definitions of the Fama and French (2015) five-factor model are less robust compared to alternative factor definitions. In contrast, the anomalous returns associated with cash flow-to-price, gross profitability, composite equity issuance, and momentum are pervasive as they show up in equal- and value-weighted portfolio sorts as well as in cross-sectional regressions. In contrast to financial theory and in line with previous findings, we do not find a positive cross-sectional relationship between risk and return. Finally, return forecasts derived from the alternative factor definitions are superior in their out-of-sample predictive ability to the ones derived from the five-factor model.
Keywords: Emerging Markets, Market Anomalies, Value, Profitability, Investments, Momentum
JEL Classification: G12, G14, G15
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation