Climate Change, Tropospheric Warming, and Stratospheric Cooling

7 Pages Posted: 3 Sep 2018

Date Written: August 25, 2018

Abstract

Climate models predict that rising atmospheric CO2 will simultaneously warm the troposphere and cool the stratosphere. This combination of tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling is found in the observational data over a period of rising atmospheric CO2. Although strong correlations between these time series are found in the source data, the correlations do not survive into the detrended series at annual or five-year time scales. The absence of detrended correlation implies that the correlations seen in the source data derive from shared trends and not from responsiveness at annual or five-year time scales. The results are inconsistent with the theory that rising atmospheric CO2 simultaneously warms the troposphere and cools the lower stratosphere.

Suggested Citation

Munshi, Jamal, Climate Change, Tropospheric Warming, and Stratospheric Cooling (August 25, 2018). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3238535 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3238535

Jamal Munshi (Contact Author)

Sonoma State University ( email )

1801 East Cotati Avenue
Rohnert Park, CA 94928
United States

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