Switching Cost Models as Hypothesis Tests

14 Pages Posted: 14 Sep 2018

See all articles by Samuel N. Cohen

Samuel N. Cohen

University of Oxford - Mathematical Institute; The Alan Turing Institute

Timo Henckel

Australian National University (Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis)

Gordon Douglas Menzies

University of Technology Sydney (UTS) - School of Finance and Economics

Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics

Daniel John Zizzo

University of Queensland - School of Economics

Date Written: September 6, 2018

Abstract

We relate models based on costs of switching beliefs (e.g. due to inattention) to hypothesis tests. Specifically, for an inference problem with a penalty for mistakes and for switching the inferred value, a band of inaction is optimal. We show this band is equivalent to a confidence interval, and therefore to a two-sided hypothesis test.

Keywords: Inference, switching cost, inferential expectations, hypothesis test.

JEL Classification: D01, D81, D84

Suggested Citation

Cohen, Samuel N. and Henckel, Timo and Menzies, Gordon Douglas and Muhle-Karbe, Johannes and Zizzo, Daniel John, Switching Cost Models as Hypothesis Tests (September 6, 2018). CAMA Working Paper No. 40/2018, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3245004 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3245004

Samuel N. Cohen

University of Oxford - Mathematical Institute ( email )

Woodstock Road
Oxford, Oxfordshire OX26GG
United Kingdom

The Alan Turing Institute ( email )

British Library
96 Euston Road
London, NW1 2DB
United Kingdom

Timo Henckel (Contact Author)

Australian National University (Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis) ( email )

Canberra ACT 0200
Australia
+61-2-61255540 (Phone)
+61-2-61255570 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://apseg.anu.edu.au/staff/thenckel.php

Gordon Douglas Menzies

University of Technology Sydney (UTS) - School of Finance and Economics ( email )

Haymarket
Sydney, NSW 2007
Australia

Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Imperial College London - Department of Mathematics ( email )

South Kensington Campus
Imperial College
LONDON, SW7 1NE
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.ma.imperial.ac.uk/~jmuhleka/

Daniel John Zizzo

University of Queensland - School of Economics ( email )

St Lucia
Brisbane, Queensland 4072
Australia

Do you have a job opening that you would like to promote on SSRN?

Paper statistics

Downloads
37
Abstract Views
676
PlumX Metrics