Global Trends in Interest Rates

67 Pages Posted: 21 Sep 2018

See all articles by Marco Del Negro

Marco Del Negro

Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Domenico Giannone

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Marc P. Giannoni

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas; Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Andrea Tambalotti

Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: September , 2018

Abstract

The trend in the world real interest rate for safe and liquid assets fluctuated close to 2 percent for more than a century, but has dropped significantly over the past three decades. This decline has been common among advanced economies, as trends in real interest rates across countries have converged over this period. It was driven by an increase in the convenience yield for safety and liquidity and by lower global economic growth.

Keywords: world interest rate, convenience yield, interest rate parity, VAR with common trends

JEL Classification: E43, E44, F31, G12

Suggested Citation

Del Negro, Marco and Giannone, Domenico and Giannoni, Marc P. and Tambalotti, Andrea, Global Trends in Interest Rates (September , 2018). FRB of New York Staff Report No. 866. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3249601 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3249601

Marco Del Negro

Federal Reserve Bank of New York ( email )

33 Liberty Street
New York, NY 10045
United States

Domenico Giannone

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of New York ( email )

33 Liberty Street
New York, NY 10045
United States

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Marc P. Giannoni

Federal Reserve Banks - Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas ( email )

2200 North Pearl Street
PO Box 655906
Dallas, TX 75265-5906
United States
214-922-5291 (Phone)

Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

90-98 Goswell Road
London, EC1V 7RR
United Kingdom

Andrea Tambalotti (Contact Author)

Federal Reserve Bank of New York ( email )

33 Liberty Street
New York, NY 10045
United States

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