End-of-Day Price Manipulation and M&As

Abstract

Based on M&As from over 45 countries from 2003-2014, we show that the presence of end-of-day (EOD) target price manipulation prior to M&As increases the probability of an M&A deal withdrawal, and decreases the premium paid. More detailed exchange trading rules that govern manipulation across countries and over time lower the probability of withdrawal, mitigate the negative impact of EOD manipulation on withdrawal, and raise premiums paid. Finally, while there are fewer cases of acquirer price manipulations prior to M&As, the data indicates positive acquirer price manipulation in share M&As and increases the probability of deal withdrawal.

Keywords: Market Manipulation, M&As, Premiums, Regulation

JEL Classification: G14, G15, G18, G34, G38