Global Risk Aversion and Emerging Market Return Comovements

Posted: 23 Oct 2018

See all articles by Riza Demirer

Riza Demirer

Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance; Economic Research Forum (ERF)

Tolga Omay

Cankaya University

Asli Yuksel

Isik University

Sadettin Aydin Yuksel

Isik University-Department of Management

Date Written: September 30, 2018

Abstract

Utilizing the recently developed measure of global risk aversion by Xu (2017), we show that global risk aversion is a significant determinant of international equity correlations, consistently across all emerging markets examined. The positive effect of risk aversion on emerging market comovements is particularly strong for South Africa and Turkey and supports the flight-to-safety phenomenon. The results underscore the importance of non-cash flow shocks in models of contagion and portfolio risk.

Keywords: Time-varying correlation, Risk aversion, International equity markets

JEL Classification: C22, G10

Suggested Citation

Demirer, Riza and Omay, Tolga and Yuksel, Asli and Yuksel, Sadettin Aydin, Global Risk Aversion and Emerging Market Return Comovements (September 30, 2018). Economics Letters, Forthcoming., Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3257648

Riza Demirer (Contact Author)

Southern Illinois University Edwardsville - Department of Economics & Finance ( email )

Department of Economics & Finance
Alumni Hall 3145
Edwardsville, IL 62026-1102
United States
(618) 650-2939 (Phone)
(618) 650-3047 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.siue.edu/~rdemire/

Economic Research Forum (ERF) ( email )

21 Al-Sad Al-Aaly St.
(P.O. Box: 12311)
Cairo, Cairo
Egypt

HOME PAGE: http://erf.org.eg/affiliates/riza-demirer-3/

Tolga Omay

Cankaya University ( email )

Turkey

Asli Yuksel

Isik University ( email )

Buyukdere Caddesi
Ayasaga
Maslak, Istanbul 80670
United States

Sadettin Aydin Yuksel

Isik University-Department of Management ( email )

Sile
Istanbul
Turkey

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