Exchange Rates, Local Currency Pricing and International Tax Policies

44 Pages Posted: 1 Oct 2018 Last revised: 11 Feb 2024

See all articles by Sihao Chen

Sihao Chen

Hong Kong Baptist University

Michael B. Devereux

University of British Columbia (UBC) - Department of Economics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Juanyi (Jenny) Xu

Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HKUST); Simon Fraser University (SFU); Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HKUST) - Department of Economics

Kang Shi

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Economics

Date Written: September 2018

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that for many countries, retail prices of traded goods are sticky in national currencies. Movements in exchange rates then cause deviations from the law of one price, and exchange rate ëmisalignmentí, which cannot be corrected by monetary policy alone. This paper shows that a state contingent international tax policy can be combined with monetary policy to eliminate exchange rate misalignment and sustain a fully efficient welfare outcome. But this monetary-fiscal mix cannot be decentralized with non-cooperative determination of monetary and fiscal policy. Non-cooperative use of taxes and subsidies introduces strategic spillovers which opens up a fundamental conflict between the goals of output gap and inflation stabilization and those of terms of trade manipulation in an open economy. The implementation of an efficient monetary-fiscal mix requires effective cooperation in fiscal policy, while leaving monetary policy to be determined non-cooperatively. In addition, while an efficient outcome requires state contingent taxes and subsidies to eliminate exchange rate misalignment, it is still necessary to have flexible exchange rates and independent monetary policy.

Suggested Citation

Chen, Sihao and Devereux, Michael B. and Xu, Juanyi (Jenny) and Shi, Kang, Exchange Rates, Local Currency Pricing and International Tax Policies (September 2018). NBER Working Paper No. w25111, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3258249

Sihao Chen (Contact Author)

Hong Kong Baptist University ( email )

Renfrew Road 34
Kowloon Tong
Hong Kong

Michael B. Devereux

University of British Columbia (UBC) - Department of Economics ( email )

997-1873 East Mall
Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z1
Canada
604-822-2542 (Phone)
604-946-6271 (Fax)

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Juanyi (Jenny) Xu

Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HKUST) ( email )

Clearwater Bay
Kowloon, 999999
Hong Kong

Simon Fraser University (SFU)

8888 University Drive
Burnaby, British Columbia V5A 1S6
Canada

Hong Kong University of Science & Technology (HKUST) - Department of Economics ( email )

Clear Water Bay
Kowloon, Hong Kong
China

Kang Shi

The Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - Department of Economics ( email )

Shatin, N.T.
Hong Kong

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