Estimating Uncertainty in Household Energy Footprints

11 Pages Posted: 19 Oct 2018

See all articles by Jihoon Min

Jihoon Min

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

Narasimha D. Rao

IIASA

Date Written: December 2018

Abstract

We develop a methodology to characterize and quantify uncertainty in relating consumption to production in household energy footprints. This uncertainty arises primarily from inconsistencies between national accounts and household surveys and, to a smaller extent, from using aggregated sectors. Researchers may introduce significant inaccuracies by ignoring these inconsistencies when reporting household footprints. We apply the methodology to India and Brazil, where we find the size of this uncertainty to be higher than 20% of footprints at most income levels. We expect that previous estimates for these countries may have been overestimated due to these inconsistencies. Other knowledge gaps, such as inaccuracies in multiregional input‐output tables and household surveys, add further uncertainty beyond our estimates.

Keywords: consumption‐based accounting, developing countries, energy intensity, household footprint, input‐output model, uncertainty

Suggested Citation

Min, Jihoon and Rao, Narasimha D., Estimating Uncertainty in Household Energy Footprints (December 2018). Journal of Industrial Ecology, Vol. 22, Issue 6, pp. 1307-1317, 2018, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3269442 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jiec.12670

Jihoon Min (Contact Author)

International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) ( email )

Schlossplatz 1
Laxenburg, A-2361
Austria

Narasimha D. Rao

IIASA ( email )

Schlossplatz 1
Laxenburg, A-2361
Austria

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