Mapping Sea-Level Change in Time, Space, and Probability

Posted: 26 Oct 2018

See all articles by Benjamin P. Horton

Benjamin P. Horton

Nanyang Technological University (NTU)

Robert E. Kopp

Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - New Brunswick/Piscataway

Andra J. Garner

Rutgers University, New Brunswick

Carling C. Hay

Boston College

Nicole S. Khan

Nanyang Technological University (NTU)

Keven Roy

Nanyang Technological University (NTU)

Timothy A. Shaw

Nanyang Technological University (NTU)

Date Written: October 2018

Abstract

Future sea-level rise generates hazards for coastal populations, economies, infrastructure, and ecosystems around the world. The projection of future sea-level rise relies on an accurate understanding of the mechanisms driving its complex spatio-temporal evolution, which must be founded on an understanding of its history. We review the current methodologies and data sources used to reconstruct the history of sea-level change over geological (Pliocene, Last Interglacial, and Holocene) and instrumental (tide-gauge and satellite alimetry) eras, and the tools used to project the future spatial and temporal evolution of sea level. We summarize the understanding of the future evolution of sea level over the near (through 2050), medium (2100), and long (post-2100) terms. Using case studies from Singapore and New Jersey, we illustrate the ways in which current methodologies and data sources can constrain future projections, and how accurate projections can motivate the development of new sea-level research questions across relevant timescales.

Suggested Citation

Horton, Benjamin P. and Kopp, Robert E. and Garner, Andra J. and Hay, Carling C. and Khan, Nicole S. and Roy, Keven and Shaw, Timothy A., Mapping Sea-Level Change in Time, Space, and Probability (October 2018). Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Vol. 43, pp. 481-521, 2018. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3273314 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025826

Benjamin P. Horton (Contact Author)

Nanyang Technological University (NTU) ( email )

S3 B2-A28 Nanyang Avenue
Singapore, 639798
Singapore

Robert E. Kopp

Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - New Brunswick/Piscataway ( email )

HOME PAGE: http://www.bobkopp.net/

Andra J. Garner

Rutgers University, New Brunswick ( email )

New Brunswick, NJ
United States

Carling C. Hay

Boston College ( email )

140 Commonwealth Avenue
Chestnut Hill, MA 02467
United States

Nicole S. Khan

Nanyang Technological University (NTU) ( email )

S3 B2-A28 Nanyang Avenue
Singapore, 639798
Singapore

Keven Roy

Nanyang Technological University (NTU) ( email )

S3 B2-A28 Nanyang Avenue
Singapore, 639798
Singapore

Timothy A. Shaw

Nanyang Technological University (NTU) ( email )

S3 B2-A28 Nanyang Avenue
Singapore, 639798
Singapore

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