Recent Progress and Emerging Topics on Weather and Climate Extremes Since the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Posted: 26 Oct 2018

See all articles by Yang Chen

Yang Chen

Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Wilfran Moufouma-Okia

University of Paris-Saclay

Valerie Masson-Delmotte

Institut Pierre Simon Laplace

Panmao Zhai

Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Date Written: October 2018

Abstract

Weather and climate extremes impose serious impacts on natural and human systems. In its fifth assessment report (AR5) and a special report [Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation (SREX)], the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change provided a thorough assessment of observed and projected changes in extremes in a warming climate, with evidenced scientific gaps in the understanding of these responsive changes being reported. Reviewing post-AR5 literature, this article synthesizes recent advances regarding these previous gaps with respect to detection, attribution, and projection of extremes. We focus on constraints for the assessment confidence, overlooked types and characteristics of extremes, and changes in their thermodynamic-dynamic drivers. We also stress potential misinterpretations of existing results, propose an update of earlier key findings, and identify burgeoning topics.

Suggested Citation

Chen, Yang and Moufouma-Okia, Wilfran and Masson-Delmotte, Valerie and Zhai, Panmao, Recent Progress and Emerging Topics on Weather and Climate Extremes Since the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (October 2018). Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Vol. 43, pp. 35-59, 2018, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3273324 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-030052

Yang Chen (Contact Author)

Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences ( email )

Beijing, 100081
China

Wilfran Moufouma-Okia

University of Paris-Saclay ( email )

55 Avenue de Paris
Versailles, 78000
France

Valerie Masson-Delmotte

Institut Pierre Simon Laplace ( email )

4 place Jussieu
BoƮte 101
Paris, 75252
France

Panmao Zhai

Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences ( email )

Beijing, 100081
China

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