Is Terrorism, Poverty, and Refugees the Dark Side of Globalization?

Quality and Quantity 53(4): 1823-1835 (2018)

17 Pages Posted: 27 Dec 2018 Last revised: 15 Jun 2019

See all articles by Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

Universidad San Carlos de Guatemala (USAC)

Donghyun Park

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research

Alam Khan

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA)

Muhammad Tahir

Comsats Institute of Information Technology

Date Written: December 11, 2018

Abstract

We present a new model on the impact of terrorism on the Deglobalization process. The channels are faster poverty expansion, largest flows of refugees, expansion of trade protectionism, and last but not least, the dramatic expansion of economic desgrowth. This new model is entitled “The Deglobalization Global Evaluation Model (DGE-Model)”. The objective of the DGE-Model is to offer policy-makers and researchers a new analytical tool to study the impact of terrorism on the Deglobalization process of Muslim countries. The applicability of the DGE-Model is not limited to a specific group of Muslim countries or regions, nor is it constrained by the development stage. In short, the DGE-Model is a simple, flexible and versatile tool to study the link between terrorism and Deglobalization. Finally, we apply the DGE-Model to three Muslim countries, namely Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan. Our sample period is 1999 to 2018, a period which witnessed acceleration of Deglobalization and expansion of terrorism in those three countries.

Keywords: deglobalization, terrorism, war, ISIS, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, economic modeling, economic desgrowth

JEL Classification: R11, R12

Suggested Citation

Ruiz Estrada, Mario Arturo and Park, Donghyun and Khan, Alam and Tahir, Muhammad, Is Terrorism, Poverty, and Refugees the Dark Side of Globalization? (December 11, 2018). Quality and Quantity 53(4): 1823-1835 (2018). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3299257 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3299257

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada (Contact Author)

Universidad San Carlos de Guatemala (USAC) ( email )

Ciencias Economicas, Ciudad Universitaria Zona 12
Guatemala City, Guatemala City
Guatemala

Donghyun Park

Asian Development Bank - Economic Research ( email )

6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City 1550
Metro Manila
Philippines

Alam Khan

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA) ( email )

University of Malaya
Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
Malaysia

Muhammad Tahir

Comsats Institute of Information Technology ( email )

University Road, Tobe Camp Abbottabad
Abbottabad, KPK 22060
Pakistan
+923450257036 (Phone)
3450257036 (Fax)

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