Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Conditional Cash Transfer Programmes: Assessing the Impact of Progresa on Agricultural Households

Journal of Development Effectivness, 2010

Posted: 8 Jan 2019

See all articles by Paul Winters

Paul Winters

International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)

Benjamin Davis

UNICEF South Africa

Sudhanshu Handa

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill - Department of Public Policy; Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR)

Marco Stampini

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Date Written: Sep 24, 2010

Abstract

The success of Mexico's conditional cash transfer programme (Progresa) has sparked a wave of similar programmes across the developing world, and the highly successful social experiment in Progresa has created demand for experimental evaluations among development partners, multilateral agencies and governments as a way to assess development policy. But existing evaluations do not consider the possibility of heterogeneous treatment effects due to either multiple programme participation or the special circumstances of agricultural households when production and consumption decisions are not separable. This article shows that the impact of Progresa on health check-ups is significantly smaller among participants of Procampo, a programme that is linked to agricultural production. This differential impact may be due to Procampo conditionality or the fact that the shadow price of time is different between these households and other Progresa beneficiaries. The authors' conclusion is that conditional cash transfer programmes must consider multiple programme participation and non-separable agricultural households when designing programmes and assessing impacts.

Suggested Citation

Winters, Paul and Davis, Benjamin and Handa, Sudhanshu and Stampini, Marco, Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Conditional Cash Transfer Programmes: Assessing the Impact of Progresa on Agricultural Households (Sep 24, 2010). Journal of Development Effectivness, 2010, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3306661

Paul Winters (Contact Author)

International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) ( email )

Via Paolo di Dono
Rome, 00142
Italy

Benjamin Davis

UNICEF South Africa ( email )

P. O. Box 4884
Pretoria
South Africa

Sudhanshu Handa

University of North Carolina (UNC) at Chapel Hill - Department of Public Policy ( email )

Abernathy Hall
Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3435
United States
(919) 843-0350 (Phone)
(919) 962-5824 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.unc.edu/depts/pubpol/handa.html

Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research (CGIAR) ( email )

1201 Eye St, NW,
Washington, DC 20005
United States

Marco Stampini

affiliation not provided to SSRN ( email )

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