Quantifying Long-Term Impact of Court Decisions
iCourts Working Paper Series No. 148
Forthcoming in Applied Network Science
13 Pages Posted: 27 Jan 2019
Date Written: January 15, 2019
In this work, we investigate how court decisions aggregate citations in the European Court of Human Rights. Using the Bass model, we quantify the prevalence of the rich-get-richer phenomenon. We find that the Bass model provides an excellent description of how individual decisions accumulate citations. Our analysis reveals that citations to a large fraction of decisions are, in fact, explained by the rich-get-richer phenomenon. Based on our statistical model, we argue that network properties are insufficient to explain the rich-get-richer effect, suggesting that intrinsic properties of decisions drive a significant part of the observed citation patterns. We conclude by discussing the legal implications of our findings.
Keywords: Law; Citation Networks; Bass model; Preferential Attachment
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