Effective Trade Costs and the Current Account: An Empirical Analysis

43 Pages Posted: 13 Feb 2019

See all articles by Emine Boz

Emine Boz

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Nan Li

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Hongrui Zhang

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Date Written: January 2019

Abstract

A view receiving increased support is that the height of trade costs in prime export sectorshas a strong effect on current account balances: countries specializing in sectors that facerelatively high trade costs, such as services, tend to run current account deficits, andsimilarly, countries specializing in low trade cost sectors, such as manufacturing, tend torun current account surpluses. To test this view, we first infer comparative advantages andtrade costs, by sector, within a large sample of countries for the period 1970-2014. Thenwe construct effective trade costs-trade costs weighted by sectoral comparativeadvantage-to gauge the height of a country's overall trade costs. Results reveal that,although higher effective exporting costs are associated with lower current accountbalances, their impact is quantitatively limited; furthermore, the effective costs ofimporting often have no statistically significant effect.

Keywords: Global imbalances, Current account, trade costs, structural gravity model, comparative advantage, trade restrictiveness, Country and Industry Studies of Trade, Open Economy Macroeconomics

JEL Classification: F13, F14, F32, F41

Suggested Citation

Boz, Emine and Li, Nan and Zhang, Hongrui, Effective Trade Costs and the Current Account: An Empirical Analysis (January 2019). IMF Working Paper No. 19/8. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3333753

Emine Boz (Contact Author)

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

Nan Li

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

Hongrui Zhang

International Monetary Fund (IMF) ( email )

700 19th Street, N.W.
Washington, DC 20431
United States

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