Momentum in the Indian Equity Markets: Positive Convexity and Positive Alpha
16 Pages Posted: 18 Mar 2019 Last revised: 23 Apr 2019
Date Written: February 1, 2019
We present effective momentum strategies over the liquid equity futures market in India. We evaluate and determine the persistence of the returns at various look-backs ranging from quarterly and weekly to more granular look-backs. We look at a universe of the liquid equity instruments traded across the Indian markets to evaluate this anomaly. We evaluate momentum across the two datasets based on frequency - daily data and intraday bar data. On the daily scale we compare momentum with other style factors. In the intraday scale we evaluate time series momentum or absolute momentum and cross-sectional momentum or relative momentum. We demonstrate that at the optimal horizon, momentum strategies on securities in India can be a source of uncorrelated alpha. We use active risk-budgeting at a given target risk for portfolio construction. We will show in a separate publication how it outperforms mean-variance optimization.
Keywords: tactical asset allocation, time series momentum, quantitative portfolio management, asset pricing, futures pricing, international financial markets, market efficiency
JEL Classification: C630, G11, G12, G13, G14, G15, G120, F37
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