Differently Motivated Exchange Traded Fund Trading Activities and the Volatility of the Underlying Index
28 Pages Posted: 10 Apr 2019
Date Written: April 2019
This paper examines the correlations between two types of a market index's volatility and three trading motives of the index's exchange traded funds (ETFs). We find that ETF trading driven by belief dispersion is highly correlated with both the variance in efficient price innovations (VEPI) and the index's total volatility. Privately informed ETF trading is closely connected to the VEPI but not the total volatility, while liquidity ETF trading explains the total volatility but has little power in explaining the VEPI. Moreover, the leading ETF dominates smaller ETFs in explaining both types of volatility and often has more explanatory power than control variables.
Keywords: Exchange traded fund, Index return volatility, Efficient price, Private information, Investor disagreement, Information‐based trading
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