Have FSRs Got News for You? Evidence from the Impact of Financial Stability Reports on Market Activity

Abstract

We investigate the impact that the publication of the Bank of England’s Financial Stability Report (FSR) has on the stock returns and credit default swap spreads of UK financial institutions. Examining a sample of 73 UK-listed banks and other financial institutions, we find that publication of the FSR is, on average, associated with no abnormal returns. We extend our analysis to examine the extent to which policies and the sentiment in the FSR are predictable, which would explain the observed lack of abnormal returns. We find that both sentiment and announced policies are predictable. We also examine the extent to which the release of the FSR reduces information asymmetry in financial markets, but do not find strong evidence.

Keywords: Event Studies, Financial Stability Reports, Central Bank Communication, Market Reaction

JEL Classification: G14, G18, G21, G22, G23, G24