The Risk of Implicit Guarantees: Evidence from Shadow Banks in China
43 Pages Posted: 13 Jun 2019 Last revised: 11 Sep 2022
Date Written: May 29, 2019
We study how risks spillover from shadow banking activities to traditional banks through implicit guarantees. Using data on wealth management products, China's largest shadow banking component, we find that banks with higher interbank borrowing rates strategically provide stronger implicit guarantees to their issued wealth management products. Extending implicit guarantees builds bank reputations and reduces rollover costs while exposing banks to losses from shadow banking activities. Our findings thus suggest a bank-specific approach to assessing the risk of implicit guarantees based on transparent and real-time interbank rates.
Keywords: shadow banking, implicit guarantees, off-balance-sheet financing
JEL Classification: G21, G23, G28
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