Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk?

91 Pages Posted: 11 Jun 2019 Last revised: 20 Nov 2020

See all articles by Patrick Bolton

Patrick Bolton

Imperial College London; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

Marcin T. Kacperczyk

Imperial College London - Accounting, Finance, and Macroeconomics; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: October 30, 2020

Abstract

We study whether carbon emissions affect the cross-section of U.S. stock returns. We find that stocks of firms with higher total CO2 emissions (and changes in emissions) earn higher returns, controlling for size, book-to-market, and other return predictors. We cannot explain this carbon premium through differences in unexpected profitability or other known risk factors. We also find that institutional investors implement exclusionary screening based on direct emission intensity (the ratio of total emissions to sales) in a few salient industries. Overall, our results are consistent with an interpretation that investors are already demanding compensation for their exposure to carbon emission risk.

Keywords: Carbon Emissions, Climate Change, Stock Returns, Institutional Investors

JEL Classification: G12, G23, G30, D62

Suggested Citation

Bolton, Patrick and Kacperczyk, Marcin T., Do Investors Care about Carbon Risk? (October 30, 2020). Columbia Business School Research Paper Forthcoming, Journal of Financial Economics (JFE), Forthcoming, European Corporate Governance Institute – Finance Working Paper 711/2020, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3398441 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3398441

Patrick Bolton (Contact Author)

Imperial College London ( email )

South Kensington Campus
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Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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Cambridge, MA 02138
United States

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

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Belgium

HOME PAGE: http://www.ecgi.org

Marcin T. Kacperczyk

Imperial College London - Accounting, Finance, and Macroeconomics ( email )

South Kensington campus
London SW7 2AZ
United Kingdom

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) ( email )

London
United Kingdom

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