Education and the Geography of Brexit

6 Pages Posted: 30 Jun 2019

See all articles by Robert Calvert Jump

Robert Calvert Jump

University of the West of England (UWE) - Department of Accounting, Economics, and Finance

Jo Michell

University of the West of England (UWE)

Date Written: June 25, 2019

Abstract

The role of education in the geography of Brexit is usually examined using descriptive statistics and regression, which are ill-suited to the assessment of predictive capacity. By presenting in-sample and out-of-sample probit classification results, this paper demonstrates that educational attainment alone can correctly classify up to 92.24% of local authorities by voting outcome, including up to 80% of Remain-voting authorities. These results emphasise the importance of education as a key factor in the political geography of the Brexit vote.

Keywords: Brexit, Education, Geography

Suggested Citation

Calvert Jump, Robert and Michell, Jo, Education and the Geography of Brexit (June 25, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3411493

Robert Calvert Jump (Contact Author)

University of the West of England (UWE) - Department of Accounting, Economics, and Finance ( email )

Blackberry Hill Bristol
Bristol, Avon BS16 1QY
United Kingdom

Jo Michell

University of the West of England (UWE) ( email )

Blackberry Hill Bristol
Bristol, Avon BS16 1QY
United Kingdom

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